تقدير الطلب على الكهرباء في محافظة البصرة للمدة 1995-2000

Abstract

Abstract:Study addresses the reality of electric power in the province of Basra, as themost important energy sources key to humanity which contribute substantiallyto the various sectors that drive the development process to progress, andenergy is electric one essential goods for various activities and events, can notbe dispensed with because of their great importance in the life of the variouscommunities.The demand for electric power is growing with the increasing populationand improved incomes, and the diversity of the uses of electricity and openimport electrical goods from different origins. The frequent interruptions in thepower supply problem affecting negatively on most daily activities ofindividuals. So it became necessary to study factors affecting the demand forelectricity in the province of Basra to the domestic and industrial sectors,especially non-renewable electricity energy needs to be provided to allconsumers.I have been using some statistical methods in the analysis of the demand forelectricity consumption model partial adjustment depending on the statisticalprogram SPSS has shown the domestic sector morale of statistical tests, eitherthe industrial sector was not significant in all formats model partial adjustment(linear and logarithmic double, and half logarithmic) However, the expressedmoral in simple linear regression model semi-logarithmic.