Using Analysis of Time Series to Forecast numbers of The Patients Malignant Tumors in Anbar Provinc with


The aim of this research is to analysis time series with using (Box & Jenkins) method (Identification, Estimation, Diagnostic Checking of Model, Forecasting) to find the beast forecasting model to the number of patients with Malignant Tumors in Anbar Province by using the monthly data for the period (2006-2010). The result of data analysis show that the proper and suitable model is Integrated Autoregressive model of order (2) ARIMA (2, 1, 0). According to this model the Research forecast the numbers of patients with Malignant Tumors the next two years in monthly bass, so the forecasting values represented the scours time series data that deal to the efficiency of the model.