Impact statement imbalance in the general budget Some macroeconomic variables in Iraq For the period (1980-2011) using causal analysis

Abstract

AbstractThe Budget represents great importance in the economic policy, and its affect directly or indirectly on many variables of macroeconomic.The general budget in Iraq has seem a lot of volatilities in process of the peroration and implementation during study time, which affected deeply on economic situations that have referred to them in variables of macroeconomics.The study aims to verify there is relation between imbalance in the general budget and the domestic product; also its with balance of trade. Importance of both two indicators shown clearly through assessment of Iraq economics orientations whence the growth and stability..The research treats this problem according to a perspective which is confirm that disruption of structures of economic activities are taking place as result of the imbalance of the general budget for a long-time, this because of the discompose in structure and preparation of the general budget and absence of development and systematic procedures in preparing its through this problem we have adopted the search hypothesis which states that the imbalance the general budget shows its effect on the Iraq economy through the impact on some macroeconomic variables. And then it have been confirmed this effect through the statistical programs which included causality analysis.