An-Econometrical Analysis of The Imports of Sugar and Tea in Iraq For The Period (1990-2013)

Abstract

In this research study economic and standard analysis to import crops of sugar and tea to Iraq for the period (1990- 2013), the fact that the import is one of the foreign trade activities in Iraq, research had adopted on the import of crops sugar and tea being the crops that have a close relationship to food security and considered imported crops quantities are the dependent factor (Y) independent factors represented by (the world price and the domestic price and the price of goods complementary and alternative national income and population and dummy variable), It was depend on time-series data in the estimation of the phenomenon under discussion, and to reach the best results was applying the standard model are four formats, The strongest functions had been adopted a based on favorable and superior in terms of statistical and lab. tests it has been chosen as the best crops of sugar, tea function dual logarithmic function, and results of the analysis it became clear moral influence negative to the variables of the world price and the domestic price of goods complementary dummy variable (X1, X2, X3, d) in the importation of crop sugar, tea , either the price of alternative goods for the tea crop variable (X3) and he had a positive significant effect on the import of tea crop, and pointed variables of national income and population (X4, X5) to positive morale in the importation of sugar and tea crops, The study reached with a number of conclusions and recommendations,: that Iraq suffers from a food gap of sugar and tea crops requiring fill this gap through imports from abroad, Research was recommending through interest in local agriculture in order to promote a commodity sugar and the use of available alternatives in Iraq as well as the process of conducting experiments on tea cultivation protected in order to reduce the import of tea, so It is reduced imports and narrow the food gap.